Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jared Jones

Pittsburgh Pirates · P · Bats L · Throws R

Tonight's line
14.5
Model proj
14.99
Edge
+1.3%
All 13 games
62%8/13 over 14.5
Window avg
15.62
Median
15.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
62%
8/13
2026
0%
0/3
Avg15.62
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Jared Jones clears 14.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too

Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 77% · n=11 · -232 DraftKings
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 63% · n=11 · -130 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Outsall 13 games vs 14.5

official box scores
17@ MIA03/3018vs BAL04/0515@ SF04/2821vs COL05/0413@ DET05/2915vs MIN06/0921vs TB06/2221vs WSH09/0812vs KC09/1515@ CIN09/219@ COL06/2114vs CIN06/2712@ PHI07/0214.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Outs

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings14.5-142+107
Bovada14.5-145+105

Line movement — Pitcher Outs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

14.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs ATL Pitcher Outs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 14.5

Paul Skenes PIT07/0718
Freddy Peralta NYM07/0614
Nolan McLean NYM07/0518
Sean Manaea NYM07/0415
Christian Scott NYM07/0312
Dustin May STL07/022
Michael McGreevy STL07/0118
Matthew Liberatore STL06/3015
Robbie Ray SF06/2824
Logan Webb SF06/2721
Trevor McDonald SF06/2616
JP Sears SD06/2417
Wandy Peralta SD06/233
Michael King SD06/2221