Tonight's line
14.5
Model proj
14.99
Edge
+1.3%Last 20
25%5/20 over 15.5
Window avg
14.65
Median
14.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
0%
0/7
Avg15.59
StreakL10
Parlay pairs — when Jared Jones clears 14.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 77% · n=11 · -232 DraftKings
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 63% · n=11 · -130 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 20 vs 15.5
official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs ATL — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 14.5
| Paul Skenes PIT | 07/07 | 18 | ✓ |
| Freddy Peralta NYM | 07/06 | 14 | ✗ |
| Nolan McLean NYM | 07/05 | 18 | ✓ |
| Sean Manaea NYM | 07/04 | 15 | ✓ |
| Christian Scott NYM | 07/03 | 12 | ✗ |
| Dustin May STL | 07/02 | 2 | ✗ |
| Michael McGreevy STL | 07/01 | 18 | ✓ |
| Matthew Liberatore STL | 06/30 | 15 | ✓ |
| Robbie Ray SF | 06/28 | 24 | ✓ |
| Logan Webb SF | 06/27 | 21 | ✓ |
| Trevor McDonald SF | 06/26 | 16 | ✓ |
| JP Sears SD | 06/24 | 17 | ✓ |
| Wandy Peralta SD | 06/23 | 3 | ✗ |
| Michael King SD | 06/22 | 21 | ✓ |