Tonight's line
14.5
Model proj
14.99
Edge
+1.3%Last 10
30%3/10 over 14.5
Window avg
13.30
Median
12.5
L5
0%
0/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
61%
11/18
2026
14%
1/7
Avg15.06
StreakL5
Parlay pairs — when Jared Jones clears 14.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 77% · n=11 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 63% · n=11 · -119 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 10 vs 14.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Outs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 14.5 | -142 | +107 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 14.5 | -120 | +120 |
| Bovada | 14.5 | -145 | +105 |
Line movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs
League vs ATL — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 14.5
| Paul Skenes PIT | 07/07 | 18 | ✓ |
| Freddy Peralta NYM | 07/06 | 14 | ✗ |
| Nolan McLean NYM | 07/05 | 18 | ✓ |
| Sean Manaea NYM | 07/04 | 15 | ✓ |
| Christian Scott NYM | 07/03 | 12 | ✗ |
| Dustin May STL | 07/02 | 2 | ✗ |
| Michael McGreevy STL | 07/01 | 18 | ✓ |
| Matthew Liberatore STL | 06/30 | 15 | ✓ |
| Robbie Ray SF | 06/28 | 24 | ✓ |
| Logan Webb SF | 06/27 | 21 | ✓ |
| Trevor McDonald SF | 06/26 | 16 | ✓ |
| JP Sears SD | 06/24 | 17 | ✓ |
| Wandy Peralta SD | 06/23 | 3 | ✗ |
| Michael King SD | 06/22 | 21 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB38.0% · 98.6 mph
Slider32.6% · 90.2 mph
Changeup17.8% · 93.4 mph
Curveball11.6% · 85.7 mph