Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
5.21
Edge
+2.7%Last 11
82%9/11 over 4.5
Window avg
6.82
Median
7.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
82%
9/11
2026
—
Avg6.82
StreakW2
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 11 vs 4.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -152 | +119 |
| PrizePicks | 5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 4.5 | -132 | +133 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsPrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs ATL — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 4.5
| Paul Skenes PIT | 07/07 | 4 | ✗ |
| Freddy Peralta NYM | 07/06 | 6 | ✓ |
| Nolan McLean NYM | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Sean Manaea NYM | 07/04 | 4 | ✗ |
| Christian Scott NYM | 07/03 | 7 | ✓ |
| Dustin May STL | 07/02 | 1 | ✗ |
| Michael McGreevy STL | 07/01 | 3 | ✗ |
| Matthew Liberatore STL | 06/30 | 9 | ✓ |
| Robbie Ray SF | 06/28 | 2 | ✗ |
| Logan Webb SF | 06/27 | 6 | ✓ |
| Trevor McDonald SF | 06/26 | 3 | ✗ |
| JP Sears SD | 06/24 | 5 | ✓ |
| Wandy Peralta SD | 06/23 | 2 | ✗ |
| Michael King SD | 06/22 | 5 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB38.0% · 98.6 mph
Slider32.6% · 90.2 mph
Changeup17.8% · 93.4 mph
Curveball11.6% · 85.7 mph