Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.46
Edge
+1.4%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 20
40%8/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.25
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
29%
5/17
Avg1.45
StreakL4
Parlay pairs — when Ernie Clement clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=144 · -247 DraftKings
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=117 · -235 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 54% · n=19 · -111 DraftKings
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=87 · -198 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs SF — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Myles Straw TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |