Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.07
Edge
-0.6%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.10
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
75%
36/48
Avg1.00
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Ernie Clement clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Dylan Cease o6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 89% · base 76% · n=9 · -146 DraftKings
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=205 · -235 DraftKings
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 58% · n=141 · -198 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=154 · -172 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |