Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ernie Clement

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.46
Edge
+1.4%
Last 20
24%4/17 over 2 · 3 push
Window avg
1.30
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
13%
1/8
L20
24%
4/17
2026
29%
12/42
Avg1.58
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Ernie Clement clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=144 · -247 DraftKings
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=117 · -235 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 54% · n=19 · -111 DraftKings
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=87 · -198 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
1@ BAL05/292@ ATL06/021@ ATL06/033@ ATL06/040vs BAL06/055vs PHI06/080vs PHI06/091vs PHI06/103vs NYY06/120@ BOS06/160@ BOS06/171vs HOU06/220vs HOU06/242vs TEX06/252vs TEX06/261vs NYM06/290vs NYM06/300@ SEA07/031@ SF07/063@ SF07/072

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+150-201
Bovada1.5+150-200

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs SF Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jonatan Clase TOR07/075
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/064
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060