Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ernie Clement

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.46
Edge
+1.4%
Last 20
50%6/12 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
1.75
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
40%
2/5
L20
50%
6/12
2026
58%
15/26
Avg1.42
Streak

Parlay pairs — when Ernie Clement clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=144 · -247 DraftKings
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=117 · -235 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 54% · n=19 · -111 DraftKings
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=87 · -198 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
8vs LAA05/091vs LAA05/100@ DET05/160@ DET05/171vs PIT05/231vs PIT05/240vs MIA05/272@ BAL05/303@ BAL05/317vs BAL06/061vs BAL06/071vs NYY06/131vs NYY06/141@ BOS06/180@ CHC06/204vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/283vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/041@ SEA07/051

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+150-201
Bovada1.5+150-200

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs SF Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jonatan Clase TOR07/075
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/064
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060