Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.46
Edge
+1.4%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Trending splitsvs RHP 50%(26)
Last 20
38%5/13 over 1 · 7 push
Window avg
1.05
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
43%
3/7
L20
38%
5/13
2026
60%
36/60
Avg1.51
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 31.6% | 92.2 | .362 | .493 | 4.2% |
| Changeup | 24.0% | 86.1 | .235 | .441 | 21.7% |
| Sweeper | 19.2% | 84.2 | .286 | .357 | 33.3% |
| Four-seam FB | 13.2% | 92.4 | .366 | .585 | 12.7% |
| Cutter | 12.0% | 89.9 | .156 | .281 | 17.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Ernie Clement clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=144 · -247 DraftKings
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=117 · -235 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 54% · n=19 · -111 DraftKings
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=87 · -198 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs SF — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Myles Straw TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS