Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ernie Clement

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.08
Edge
-0.3%
Trending splitsvs RHP 41%(22)
Last 10
33%2/6 over 1 · 4 push
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
50%
1/2
L10
33%
2/6
L20
38%
5/13
2026
53%
27/51
Avg1.03
Streak

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.362.4934.2%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.235.44121.7%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.286.35733.3%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.366.58512.7%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.156.28117.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Ernie Clement clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Dylan Cease o6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 90% · base 78% · n=10 · -139 dabble_us_dfs
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=206 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 58% · n=142 · -198 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=155 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 1

official box scores
0vs TEX06/281vs NYM06/290vs NYM06/302vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/041@ SEA07/051@ SF07/062@ SF07/071@ SF07/081

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-240+178
dabble_us_dfs0.5-217+221

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Nathan Lukes TOR07/082
Daulton Varsho TOR07/081
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/081
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/080
Jonatan Clase TOR07/080
Andrés Giménez TOR07/080
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/080
George Springer TOR07/080
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.308.310.400.333.310.273.176.240.455
AVG
.308.310.400.333.317.300.176.240.455
Exit Velo
81.6085.9390.1886.0088.8589.8488.2988.0187.08
sluggingPercentage
.769.414.600.524.439.550.176.320.500
OPS
1.077.7241.000.857.738.773.353.560.955