Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ernie Clement

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.07
Edge
-0.6%
Last 10
60%6/10 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
73%
65/89
Avg1.03
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.362.4934.2%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.235.44121.7%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.286.35733.3%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.366.58512.7%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.156.28117.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Ernie Clement clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Dylan Cease o6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 89% · base 76% · n=9 · -139 dabble_us_dfs
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=205 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 58% · n=141 · -198 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=154 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
3vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/281vs NYM06/290vs NYM06/302vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/041@ SEA07/051@ SF07/062@ SF07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-240+178
dabble_us_dfs0.5-217+221

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.308.310.400.333.310.273.176.240.455
AVG
.308.310.400.333.317.300.176.240.455
Exit Velo
81.6085.9390.1886.0088.8589.8488.2988.0187.08
sluggingPercentage
.769.414.600.524.439.550.176.320.500
OPS
1.077.7241.000.857.738.773.353.560.955