Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ernie Clement

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.07
Edge
-0.6%
Last 30
77%23/30 over 0.5
Window avg
1.37
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
73%
16/22
Avg1.24
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Ernie Clement clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Dylan Cease o6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 89% · base 76% · n=9 · -146 DraftKings
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=205 · -235 DraftKings
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 58% · n=141 · -198 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=154 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ TB09/170@ KC09/201vs BOS09/241vs TB09/283vs NYY10/054@ NYY10/072vs LAD10/241@ LAD10/292vs OAK03/282vs COL04/011vs LAD04/061@ LAA04/202vs CLE04/250vs BOS04/270vs BOS04/281@ MIN05/020@ TB05/060vs LAA05/082vs TB05/121@ NYY05/183@ NYY05/211@ BAL05/293@ ATL06/042vs PHI06/081vs PHI06/102vs NYY06/120@ BOS06/160@ BOS06/172vs TEX06/251vs NYM06/290.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-240+178

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Sean Keys TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Myles Straw TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060