Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Curtis Mead

Washington Nationals · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.05
Edge
+16.3%
Last 114
31%35/114 over 1.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
45%
18/40
Avg1.20
StreakW3

Parlay pairs — when Curtis Mead clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=27 · -203 DraftKings
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -155 DraftKings
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -114 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 114 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
0vs MIL05/012vs MIL05/020vs MIL05/033vs MIN05/050vs MIN05/061vs MIN05/071vs BAL05/150vs BAL05/162vs NYM05/181vs NYM05/200vs NYM05/215vs SD05/292vs SD05/300vs SD05/312vs MIA06/010vs MIA06/021vs MIA06/030vs SEA06/120vs SEA06/131vs KC06/154vs KC06/160vs KC06/174vs PHI06/220vs PHI06/234vs PHI06/244vs PHI06/251vs PIT07/042vs PIT07/057vs HOU07/063vs HOU07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+128-170
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs HOU Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

James Wood WSH07/075
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
CJ Abrams WSH07/071
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
Jacob Young WSH07/070
CJ Abrams WSH07/066
James Wood WSH07/064
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
Luis García Jr. WSH07/062
Drew Millas WSH07/061
Jacob Young WSH07/061