Curtis Mead

Washington Nationals · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.17

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last15

Trending splits

Last 15

13%2/15 over 0.5

Window avg

0.13

Median

0.0

0/5

L10

10%

1/10

L20

20%

4/20

2026

14%

5/36

Avg0.07

StreakL9

Home Runs — last 15 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Curtis Mead clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Jacob Young o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 92% · base 62% · n=13 · -171 DraftKings

Jacob Young o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 92% · base 62% · n=13 · -175 BetOnline

Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 79% · base 62% · n=14 · -122 DraftKings

Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 79% · base 62% · n=14 · -125 BetMGM

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+390	—
BetRivers	+350	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

CaesarsBetRivers

Time	Book	Move
8:00 AM ET	BetRivers	1.5 → 0.5

League vs NYY — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Junior Caminero TB	07/09	1	✓
Nick Fortes TB	07/09	0	✗
Ben Williamson TB	07/09	0	✗
Ryan Vilade TB	07/09	0	✗
Chandler Simpson TB	07/09	0	✗
Victor Mesa Jr. TB	07/09	0	✗
Taylor Walls TB	07/09	0	✗
Jonathan Aranda TB	07/09	0	✗
Yandy Díaz TB	07/09	0	✗
Chandler Simpson TB	07/08	0	✗
Cedric Mullins TB	07/08	0	✗
Ben Williamson TB	07/08	0	✗
Jonathan Aranda TB	07/08	0	✗
Jonny DeLuca TB	07/08	0	✗

Mead's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .455 down-and-in · Weakness: .188 up-and-away

onBasePercentage

OPS

AVG

sluggingPercentage

Exit Velo