Curtis Mead

Washington Nationals · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.17

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last2026

Trending splits

Last 120

11%13/120 over 0.5

Window avg

0.12

Median

0.0

20%

1/5

L10

30%

3/10

L20

25%

5/20

2026

25%

11/44

Avg0.12

StreakL2

Home Runs — last 120 vs 0.5

official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Curtis Mead clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Jacob Young o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 92% · base 62% · n=13 · -178 DraftKings

Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 79% · base 62% · n=14 · -150 DraftKings

James Wood o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=14 · -226 DraftKings

Dylan Crews o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=10 · -222 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+400	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Caesars

Time	Book	Move
2:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5

League vs NYY — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Junior Caminero TB	07/09	1	✓
Ben Williamson TB	07/09	0

Mead's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .455 down-and-in · Weakness: .188 up-and-away

onBasePercentage

OPS

AVG

sluggingPercentage

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