Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Curtis Mead

Washington Nationals · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.05
Edge
+16.3%
Last 20
29%5/17 over 2 · 3 push
Window avg
1.85
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
25%
2/8
L20
29%
5/17
2026
19%
6/31
Avg1.08
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Curtis Mead clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=27 · -203 DraftKings
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -155 DraftKings
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -114 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2

away only · official box scores
5@ ATL05/221@ ATL05/248@ CLE05/250@ CLE05/261@ CLE05/271@ AZ06/054@ AZ06/062@ AZ06/070@ SF06/080@ SF06/095@ SF06/100@ TB06/191@ TB06/200@ TB06/211@ BAL06/260@ BAL06/272@ BAL06/282@ BOS06/290@ BOS06/304@ BOS07/012

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+128-170
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs HOU Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

James Wood WSH07/075
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
CJ Abrams WSH07/071
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Jacob Young WSH07/070
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
CJ Abrams WSH07/066
James Wood WSH07/064
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
Luis García Jr. WSH07/062
Drew Millas WSH07/061
Jacob Young WSH07/061