Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.03
Edge
+0.5%Last 10
17%1/6 over 2 · 4 push
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.5
L5
50%
1/2
L10
17%
1/6
L20
6%
1/16
2026
5%
3/66
Avg0.72
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .462 | .846 | 22.2% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .239 | .408 | 13.9% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .087 | .217 | 37.5% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .265 | .633 | 12.0% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .280 | .440 | 11.3% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .222 | .611 | 18.2% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .205 | .436 | 22.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Curtis Mead clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Foster Griffin o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 78% · base 64% · n=9 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 62% · n=38 · -155 DraftKings
James Wood o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 60% · base 56% · n=43 · -159 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 10 vs 2
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Drew Millas WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS