Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Curtis Mead

Washington Nationals · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.05
Edge
+16.3%
Last 20
45%9/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.90
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
44%
19/43
Avg1.29
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Curtis Mead clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=27 · -203 DraftKings
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -155 DraftKings
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -114 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
5vs SD05/292vs MIA06/010vs MIA06/021@ AZ06/050@ SF06/080@ SF06/090vs SEA06/121vs KC06/154vs KC06/160@ TB06/194vs PHI06/220vs PHI06/234vs PHI06/244vs PHI06/251@ BAL06/260@ BAL06/272@ BOS06/290@ BOS06/307vs HOU07/063vs HOU07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+128-170
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs HOU Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

James Wood WSH07/075
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
CJ Abrams WSH07/071
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
Jacob Young WSH07/070
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
CJ Abrams WSH07/066
James Wood WSH07/064
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
Luis García Jr. WSH07/062
Jacob Young WSH07/061
Drew Millas WSH07/061