Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Curtis Mead

Washington Nationals · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.05
Edge
+16.3%
Last 20
16%3/19 over 3 · 1 push
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
22%
2/9
L20
16%
3/19
2026
15%
7/48
Avg1.03
Streak

Parlay pairs — when Curtis Mead clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=27 · -203 DraftKings
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -155 DraftKings
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -114 DraftKings
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -137 PrizePicks

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 3

official box scores
0vs MIA06/021vs MIA06/031@ AZ06/052@ AZ06/070@ SF06/080@ SF06/090vs SEA06/120vs SEA06/131vs KC06/154vs KC06/160vs KC06/170@ TB06/190@ TB06/214vs PHI06/240@ BAL06/272@ BAL06/281vs PIT07/042vs PIT07/057vs HOU07/063vs HOU07/073

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+128-170
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs HOU Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

James Wood WSH07/075
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
CJ Abrams WSH07/071
Jacob Young WSH07/070
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
CJ Abrams WSH07/066
James Wood WSH07/064
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
Luis García Jr. WSH07/062
Drew Millas WSH07/061
Jacob Young WSH07/061