Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Curtis Mead

Washington Nationals · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.05
Edge
+16.3%
Last 20
50%10/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.95
Median
1.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
63%
5/8
Avg1.41
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Curtis Mead clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=27 · -203 DraftKings
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -155 DraftKings
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=25 · -114 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
1vs MIL05/091vs HOU05/192vs HOU05/204vs TOR05/230vs MIA06/074vs BAL06/180vs OAK06/300vs OAK07/010vs CLE08/093vs KC08/251vs NYY08/292vs TB09/116vs STL04/074vs SF04/192vs MIL05/021vs NYM05/200vs NYM05/214vs PHI06/220vs PHI06/234vs PHI06/251.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+128-170
Bovada1.5+130-170

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs HOU Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

James Wood WSH07/075
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
CJ Abrams WSH07/071
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Jacob Young WSH07/070
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
CJ Abrams WSH07/066
James Wood WSH07/064
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
Luis García Jr. WSH07/062
Drew Millas WSH07/061
Jacob Young WSH07/061