Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gabriel Arias

Cleveland Guardians · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.40
Edge
+2.8%
Last 20
30%6/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.30
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
57%
4/7
Avg0.37
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Connor Prielipp (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter

No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.

Parlay pairs — when Gabriel Arias clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Steven Kwan o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 68% · n=59 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Brayan Rocchio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 54% · n=47 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
David Fry o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 43% · n=28 · -116 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ CWS08/100vs ATL08/170@ AZ08/200@ TEX08/241vs TB08/270@ TB09/070vs CWS09/140@ DET09/180@ MIN09/210vs TEX09/280vs DET09/300vs DET10/010vs DET10/021vs CHC04/030vs CHC04/050@ MIL06/180@ HOU06/211vs SEA06/281vs TEX07/011vs CWS07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+231-227

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIN Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Rhys Hoskins CLE07/071
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/070
Travis Bazzana CLE07/070
Steven Kwan CLE07/070
Patrick Bailey CLE07/070
Brayan Rocchio CLE07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/070
Kyle Manzardo CLE07/070
Kahlil Watson CLE07/070
Trent Grisham NYY07/051
Anthony Volpe NYY07/050
Ben Rice NYY07/050
Jasson Domínguez NYY07/050
Austin Wells NYY07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.000.000.000.875.688.625.000.875.333
Exit Velo
-90.7384.8095.8499.0190.9381.46102.5092.91
AVG
.000.000.000.500.438.250.000.375.333
onBasePercentage
.000.000.000.500.438.250.000.375.333
OPS
.000.000.0001.3751.125.875.0001.250.667