Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gabriel Arias

Cleveland Guardians · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.69
Edge
-0.1%
All 130 games
55%72/130 over 0.5
Window avg
0.72
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
50%
9/18
Avg0.72
StreakL3

Tonight's matchup: Connor Prielipp (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter

No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.

Parlay pairs — when Gabriel Arias clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Chase DeLauter o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 90% · base 70% · n=10 · -233 dabble_us_dfs
Travis Bazzana o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=8 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Travis Bazzana o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 43% · n=8 · +126 dabble_us_dfs
Travis Bazzana o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 43% · n=8 · +158 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 130 games vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs CWS09/121vs CWS09/132@ DET09/161@ DET09/171@ MIN09/190@ MIN09/202@ MIN09/200vs DET09/230vs DET09/240vs DET09/252vs TEX09/261vs TEX09/271@ SEA03/260@ SEA03/270@ SEA03/290@ LAD03/300@ LAD03/311@ LAD04/012vs CHC04/051vs KC04/062@ MIL06/161@ HOU06/190@ CWS06/221vs SEA06/271vs TEX06/290vs TEX06/301vs CWS07/020vs CWS07/030vs CWS07/040@ MIN07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137-137
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr PicksDK Pick6

League vs MIN Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Chase DeLauter CLE07/072
Rhys Hoskins CLE07/071
Brayan Rocchio CLE07/070
Kyle Manzardo CLE07/070
Travis Bazzana CLE07/070
Kahlil Watson CLE07/070
Steven Kwan CLE07/070
Patrick Bailey CLE07/070
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/070
Trent Grisham NYY07/051
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/051
Austin Wells NYY07/051
Cody Bellinger NYY07/051
Ben Rice NYY07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.000.000.000.875.688.625.000.875.333
Exit Velo
-90.7384.8095.8499.0190.9381.46102.5092.91
AVG
.000.000.000.500.438.250.000.375.333
onBasePercentage
.000.000.000.500.438.250.000.375.333
OPS
.000.000.0001.3751.125.875.0001.250.667