Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gabriel Arias

Cleveland Guardians · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.19
Edge
Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.75
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
75%
6/8
Avg1.50
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Connor Prielipp (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter

No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.

Parlay pairs — when Gabriel Arias clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Chase DeLauter o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 90% · base 70% · n=10 · -233 dabble_us_dfs
Travis Bazzana o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=8 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Travis Bazzana o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 43% · n=8 · +126 dabble_us_dfs
Travis Bazzana o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 43% · n=8 · +158 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
4@ NYM08/043@ NYM08/060vs ATL08/161@ AZ08/191vs TB08/254@ BOS09/032vs CWS09/121@ DET09/180vs DET09/233vs TEX09/270vs TEX09/281vs DET09/302vs CHC04/052@ MIL06/161@ MIL06/180@ CWS06/224vs TEX06/291vs TEX07/010vs CWS07/035vs CWS07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIN Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Rhys Hoskins CLE07/074
Chase DeLauter CLE07/073
Patrick Bailey CLE07/070
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/070
Steven Kwan CLE07/070
Brayan Rocchio CLE07/070
Travis Bazzana CLE07/070
Kahlil Watson CLE07/070
Kyle Manzardo CLE07/070
Trent Grisham NYY07/052
Austin Wells NYY07/051
Ben Rice NYY07/051
Cody Bellinger NYY07/051
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.000.000.000.875.688.625.000.875.333
Exit Velo
-90.7384.8095.8499.0190.9381.46102.5092.91
AVG
.000.000.000.500.438.250.000.375.333
onBasePercentage
.000.000.000.500.438.250.000.375.333
OPS
.000.000.0001.3751.125.875.0001.250.667