Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.13
Edge
+2.4%Last 5
40%2/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
25%
2/8
Avg0.13
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Connor Prielipp (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.
Parlay pairs — when Gabriel Arias clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Brayan Rocchio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 54% · n=15 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Steven Kwan o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 68% · n=18 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +975 | -909 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIN — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Rhys Hoskins CLE | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brayan Rocchio CLE | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Patrick Bailey CLE | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Manzardo CLE | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kahlil Watson CLE | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Steven Kwan CLE | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Anthony Volpe NYY | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cody Bellinger NYY | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Schuemann NYY | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS