Gabriel Arias

Cleveland Guardians · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.15

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

Last 20

10%2/20 over 0.5

Window avg

0.10

Median

0.0

20%

1/5

L10

20%

2/10

L20

10%

2/20

2026

33%

1/3

Avg0.14

StreakW1

Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5

official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Gabriel Arias clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Brayan Rocchio o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 81% · base 54% · n=16 · -211 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+500	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Caesars

Time	Book	Move
5:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5
5:00 AM ET	Caesars	1.5 → 0.5
2:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5

League vs MIA — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Dominic Canzone SEA

07/09

Arias's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .500 middle-and-in · Weakness: .000 down-and-in

sluggingPercentage

OPS

Exit Velo

AVG

onBasePercentage