Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.91
Edge
-3.6%All 318 games
40%95/240 over 1 · 78 push
Window avg
1.32
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
13%
1/8
L20
21%
3/14
2026
25%
14/55
Avg1.32
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .236 | .382 | 22.7% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .229 | .229 | 42.7% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .250 | .563 | 54.3% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .000 | .000 | 36.0% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .350 | .800 | 22.9% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .333 | .333 | 23.1% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .143 | .143 | 33.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Colton Cowser clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 63% · n=118 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=23 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=23 · -185 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 318 games vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -149 | +115 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CHC — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS