Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.07
Edge
+0.6%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 15
7%1/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.07
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
5%
3/64
Avg0.06
StreakL7
Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.7% | 91.4 | .182 | .333 | 13.2% |
| Slider | 26.0% | 83.9 | .231 | .308 | 25.5% |
| Changeup | 22.8% | 79.5 | .286 | .286 | 26.7% |
| Sweeper | 5.7% | 76.7 | .429 | .857 | 15.8% |
| Cutter | 1.8% | 88.4 | .316 | .368 | 15.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Zach McKinstry clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 59% · n=17 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 15 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +1562 | -1429 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs OAK — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Colt Keith DET | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| James Outman DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Matt Vierling DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heriberto Hernández MIA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Leo Jiménez MIA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brian Navarreto MIA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS