Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zach McKinstry

Detroit Tigers · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
+1.8%
All 164 games
60%99/164 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
61%
20/33
Avg0.85
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.182.33313.2%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.231.30825.5%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.286.28626.7%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.429.85715.8%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.316.36815.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Zach McKinstry clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=155 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 59% · n=145 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=15 · -137 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 164 games vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
1vs MIA04/121vs KC04/141vs KC04/150vs BOS05/050vs BOS05/060vs TOR05/151vs TOR05/161vs TOR05/170vs CLE05/180vs CLE05/192vs CLE05/201vs CLE05/210vs LAA05/260vs LAA05/270vs LAA05/281vs SEA06/051vs SEA06/072vs MIN06/090vs MIN06/102vs MIN06/110vs CWS06/202vs CWS06/211vs NYY06/221vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/240vs HOU06/250vs HOU06/262vs HOU06/272vs HOU06/282vs OAK07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-175+131
dabble_us_dfs0.5-130+132

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Matt Vierling DET07/071
Colt Keith DET07/071
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.091.333.000.200.226.333.217.125.357
AVG
.091.357.000.214.226.357.217.125.357
Exit Velo
91.7780.6070.6989.9588.4079.1388.5688.2886.32
sluggingPercentage
.273.571.000.357.290.500.217.125.786
OPS
.364.867.000.533.516.800.435.2501.143