Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zach McKinstry

Detroit Tigers · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
+1.8%
Last 5
67%2/3 over 1 · 2 push
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
67%
2/3
L10
63%
5/8
L20
40%
6/15
2026
23%
10/43
Avg0.70
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.182.33313.2%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.231.30825.5%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.286.28626.7%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.429.85715.8%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.316.36815.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Zach McKinstry clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=155 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 59% · n=145 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=15 · -137 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 1

official box scores
1@ NYY07/012@ TEX07/021@ TEX07/040@ TEX07/052vs OAK07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-175+131
dabble_us_dfs0.5-130+132

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Colt Keith DET07/071
Matt Vierling DET07/071
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Leo Jiménez MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.091.333.000.200.226.333.217.125.357
AVG
.091.357.000.214.226.357.217.125.357
Exit Velo
91.7780.6070.6989.9588.4079.1388.5688.2886.32
sluggingPercentage
.273.571.000.357.290.500.217.125.786
OPS
.364.867.000.533.516.800.435.2501.143