Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zach McKinstry

Detroit Tigers · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
+1.8%
Last 20
40%6/15 over 1 · 5 push
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
67%
2/3
L10
63%
5/8
L20
40%
6/15
2026
23%
10/43
Avg0.70
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Zach McKinstry clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=155 · -209 DraftKings
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 59% · n=145 · -171 DraftKings
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=15 · -157 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
0@ CLE06/120@ CLE06/130@ HOU06/150@ HOU06/160vs CWS06/202vs CWS06/211vs NYY06/221vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/240vs HOU06/250vs HOU06/262vs HOU06/272vs HOU06/282@ NYY06/290@ NYY06/301@ NYY07/012@ TEX07/021@ TEX07/040@ TEX07/052vs OAK07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-175+131

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Colt Keith DET07/071
Matt Vierling DET07/071
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Leo Jiménez MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.273.571.000.308.267.500.217.125.786
Exit Velo
91.7780.6070.6990.3288.8979.1388.5688.2886.32
AVG
.091.357.000.154.200.357.217.125.357
onBasePercentage
.091.333.000.143.200.333.217.125.357
OPS
.364.867.000.429.467.800.435.2501.143