Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zach McKinstry

Detroit Tigers · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
+1.8%
Last 15
40%6/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.47
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
41%
7/17
Avg0.73
StreakW3

Parlay pairs — when Zach McKinstry clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=155 · -209 DraftKings
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 59% · n=145 · -171 DraftKings
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=15 · -157 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ KC05/080@ KC05/101vs TOR05/160vs CLE05/191vs CLE05/210@ BAL05/220@ BAL05/240@ CWS05/290@ CWS05/300@ TB06/020@ CLE06/130vs CWS06/201vs NYY06/231vs NYY06/242@ NYY06/290.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-175+131

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Kevin McGonigle DET07/072
Colt Keith DET07/071
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Matt Vierling DET07/071
James Outman DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Jakob Marsee MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.273.571.000.308.267.500.217.125.786
Exit Velo
91.7780.6070.6990.3288.8979.1388.5688.2886.32
AVG
.091.357.000.154.200.357.217.125.357
onBasePercentage
.091.333.000.143.200.333.217.125.357
OPS
.364.867.000.429.467.800.435.2501.143