Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gavin Sheets

San Diego Padres · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.78
Edge
-1.5%
Last 10
70%7/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
56%
47/84
Avg0.79
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Gavin Sheets clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=129 · -258 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs LAD06/280@ CHC06/291@ CHC06/301@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/021@ LAD07/031@ LAD07/041@ LAD07/051vs AZ07/060vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-148+111

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/060