Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gavin Sheets

San Diego Padres · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.78
Edge
-1.5%
Last 20
50%10/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
43%
17/40
Avg0.72
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Gavin Sheets clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=129 · -258 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
0vs LAD05/191vs LAD05/201vs OAK05/221vs OAK05/231vs OAK05/241vs PHI05/260vs PHI05/270vs NYM06/050vs NYM06/061vs CIN06/080vs CIN06/091vs CIN06/100vs ATL06/220vs ATL06/230vs ATL06/241vs LAD06/263vs LAD06/270vs LAD06/281vs AZ07/060vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-148+111

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Manny Machado SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/060