Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gavin Sheets

San Diego Padres · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.78
Edge
-1.5%
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
64%
16/25
Avg0.84
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Gavin Sheets clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=129 · -258 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ LAA04/191@ COL04/231@ AZ04/260vs CWS05/031@ SF05/060vs STL05/101@ MIL05/141vs OAK05/240vs PHI05/270@ WSH05/300@ WSH05/310@ PHI06/041vs CIN06/101@ BAL06/131@ BAL06/141@ STL06/170@ TEX06/201@ TEX06/210vs LAD06/281@ CHC07/010.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-148+111

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/060