Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gavin Sheets

San Diego Padres · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-7.6%
Trending splitsHome 25%(40)
Last 30
13%4/30 over 1.5
Window avg
0.73
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
17%
14/84
Avg0.76
StreakL14

Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
28.8%
89.6.368.89516.7%
Four-seam FB
26.8%
93.4.230.48315.0%
Sweeper
16.1%
83.4.214.42948.0%
Curveball
12.7%
86.3.261.43526.2%
Changeup
7.8%
86.7.195.31726.7%
Sinker
7.8%
93.0.231.38514.1%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Batter Strikeoutslast 30 vs 1.5

official box scores
1@ PHI06/040vs NYM06/051vs NYM06/062vs CIN06/083vs CIN06/090vs CIN06/100@ BAL06/121@ BAL06/131@ BAL06/140@ STL06/151@ STL06/162@ STL06/171@ TEX06/190@ TEX06/201@ TEX06/212vs ATL06/221vs ATL06/230vs ATL06/240vs LAD06/260vs LAD06/271vs LAD06/281@ CHC06/290@ CHC06/300@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/020@ LAD07/031@ LAD07/040@ LAD07/051vs AZ07/060vs AZ07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137-137
Betr Picks0.5-137-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr PicksDK Pick6

League vs AZ Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Manny Machado SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Xander Bogaerts SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/070
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Luis Campusano SD07/070
Rodolfo Durán SD07/063
Samad Taylor SD07/062
Manny Machado SD07/061
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Jake Cronenworth SD07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.056.278.667.227.500.429.125.385.294
sluggingPercentage
.222.5001.667.2381.231.929.130.692.647
AVG
.056.278.667.190.500.429.087.385.294
OPS
.278.7782.333.4551.7311.357.2501.077.941
Exit Velo
92.9595.6695.1791.5494.9987.8080.8393.2393.62