Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gavin Sheets

San Diego Padres · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.78
Edge
-1.5%
Last 5
0%0/1 over 1 · 4 push
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/1
L10
0%
0/3
L20
20%
2/10
2026
26%
13/50
Avg0.79
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Gavin Sheets clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=129 · -258 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 1

official box scores
1@ LAD07/031@ LAD07/041@ LAD07/051vs AZ07/060vs AZ07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-148+111

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Ty France SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Rodolfo Durán SD07/060