Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Gavin Sheets

San Diego Padres · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.78
Edge
-1.5%
Last 30
63%19/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
60%
40/67
Avg0.85
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Gavin Sheets clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=129 · -258 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs OAK05/231vs OAK05/241vs PHI05/262@ WSH05/290@ WSH05/311@ PHI06/020@ PHI06/040vs NYM06/050vs NYM06/060vs CIN06/091vs CIN06/102@ BAL06/121@ BAL06/130@ STL06/150@ STL06/161@ STL06/172@ TEX06/191@ TEX06/210vs ATL06/220vs ATL06/231vs LAD06/263vs LAD06/270vs LAD06/281@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/021@ LAD07/031@ LAD07/041@ LAD07/051vs AZ07/060vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-148+111

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Manny Machado SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Sung-Mun Song SD07/060