Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.78
Edge
-1.5%Last 5
40%2/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
41%
7/17
Avg0.57
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .368 | .895 | 16.7% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .230 | .483 | 15.0% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | .214 | .429 | 48.0% |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | .261 | .435 | 26.2% |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .195 | .317 | 26.7% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .231 | .385 | 14.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Gavin Sheets clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=129 · -258 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs AZ — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo