Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.01
Edge
-11.6%Last 30
27%8/30 over 1.5
Window avg
0.87
Median
0.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
24%
10/41
Avg1.14
StreakL2
Parlay pairs — when Sal Frelick clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=119 · -225 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=122 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 53% · n=102 · -132 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 30 vs 1.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs STL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Chourio MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |