Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Sal Frelick

Milwaukee Brewers · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.01
Edge
-11.6%
Last 20
30%6/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
0.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
25%
14/56
Avg1.20
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Sal Frelick clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=119 · -225 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=122 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 53% · n=102 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
0@ COL06/060@ OAK06/081@ OAK06/092@ OAK06/101vs PHI06/120vs PHI06/130vs CLE06/163vs CLE06/170@ ATL06/190@ CIN06/222@ CIN06/241vs CHC06/261vs CHC06/273vs CIN06/294vs CIN06/300@ AZ07/030@ AZ07/042@ STL07/060@ STL07/070@ STL07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+140-187
Bovada1.5+140-185

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Christian Yelich MIL07/075
Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Christian Yelich MIL07/070
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070
William Contreras MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070