Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.35
Edge
-3.7%Trending splitsvs LHP 23%(22)
All 379 games
38%144/379 over 0.5
Window avg
0.47
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
34%
28/83
Avg0.47
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .202 | .258 | 12.9% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .250 | .250 | 6.9% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .271 | .373 | 1.2% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .250 | .292 | 15.7% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .533 | 1.067 | 10.7% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .167 | .222 | 15.6% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .259 | .333 | 8.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Sal Frelick clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 67% · n=139 · -225 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=140 · -251 DraftKings
Garrett Mitchell o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 55% · n=53 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 53% · n=121 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — all 379 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +200 | -196 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs STL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jackson Chourio MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS