Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.01
Edge
-11.6%Last 5
0%0/5 over 2.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
12%
10/83
Avg1.25
StreakL7
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .202 | .258 | 12.9% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .250 | .250 | 6.9% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .271 | .373 | 1.2% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .250 | .292 | 15.7% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .533 | 1.067 | 10.7% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .167 | .222 | 15.6% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .259 | .333 | 8.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Sal Frelick clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=119 · -225 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=122 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 53% · n=102 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 5 vs 2.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs STL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS