Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Sal Frelick

Milwaukee Brewers · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.75
Edge
-13.7%
All 379 games
4%16/379 over 2.5
Window avg
0.91
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
1%
1/83
Avg0.91
StreakL7

Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
25.7%
91.6.202.25812.9%
Changeup
21.0%
86.7.250.2506.9%
Sinker
16.5%
90.4.271.3731.2%
Cutter
11.3%
86.8.250.29215.7%
Curveball
11.2%
77.9.5331.06710.7%
Sweeper
10.2%
81.4.167.22215.6%
Slider
4.1%
83.4.259.3338.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Sal Frelick clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=229 · -225 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 379 games vs 2.5

official box scores
2vs SF06/020vs SF06/031vs SF06/042@ COL06/050@ COL06/060@ COL06/070@ OAK06/081@ OAK06/092@ OAK06/101vs PHI06/120vs PHI06/130vs CLE06/162vs CLE06/170@ ATL06/190@ ATL06/202@ ATL06/210@ CIN06/221@ CIN06/241vs CHC06/261vs CHC06/271vs CHC06/282vs CIN06/293vs CIN06/300vs CIN07/020@ AZ07/030@ AZ07/040@ AZ07/051@ STL07/060@ STL07/070@ STL07/072.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-243+180
dabble_us_dfs0.5-172+174

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs STL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Joey Ortiz MIL07/073
Christian Yelich MIL07/073
Cooper Pratt MIL07/072
Brice Turang MIL07/072
Joey Ortiz MIL07/072
Jake Bauers MIL07/072
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
William Contreras MIL07/070
Jake Bauers MIL07/070
Christian Yelich MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.563.286.400.333.147.250.286.563.714
Exit Velo
90.9783.4776.2189.0587.3786.4680.0890.1590.35
AVG
.438.250.333.292.147.214.286.250.357
onBasePercentage
.438.241.353.280.147.214.286.250.375
OPS
1.000.517.706.600.294.464.571.8131.000