Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Sal Frelick

Milwaukee Brewers · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.01
Edge
-11.6%
Trending splitsvs LHP 5%(20)
Last 10
22%2/9 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
1.00
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
22%
2/9
L20
22%
4/18
2026
14%
10/72
Avg1.25
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Sal Frelick clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=119 · -225 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=122 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 53% · n=102 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 10 vs 2

official box scores
1vs CHC06/283vs CIN06/294vs CIN06/300vs CIN07/020@ AZ07/030@ AZ07/040@ AZ07/052@ STL07/060@ STL07/070@ STL07/072

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+140-187
Bovada1.5+140-185

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Christian Yelich MIL07/075
Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
William Contreras MIL07/070
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070
Christian Yelich MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070