Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Sal Frelick

Milwaukee Brewers · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.01
Edge
-11.6%
Last 20
30%6/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
9%
1/11
Avg0.89
StreakL5

Parlay pairs — when Sal Frelick clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=119 · -225 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=122 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 53% · n=102 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

away only · official box scores
3@ PHI05/310@ PHI06/010@ CIN06/042@ MIN06/221@ NYM07/032@ CHC08/193@ CHC08/210@ TEX09/082@ CHC10/091@ BOS04/071@ DET04/231@ WSH05/020@ WSH05/030@ MIN05/162@ CHC05/180@ COL06/070@ OAK06/080@ ATL06/190@ ATL06/200@ AZ07/051.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+140-187
Bovada1.5+140-185

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Christian Yelich MIL07/075
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Christian Yelich MIL07/070
Cooper Pratt MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070