Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Sal Frelick

Milwaukee Brewers · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.01
Edge
-11.6%
Last 32
44%14/32 over 1.5
Window avg
1.28
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
43%
3/7
Avg1.28
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Sal Frelick clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=119 · -225 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=122 · -251 DraftKings
Joey Ortiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 53% · n=102 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 32 vs 1.5

vs STL only · official box scores
0@ STL04/210vs STL05/091vs STL05/100vs STL05/110vs STL05/124@ STL08/202@ STL08/210@ STL08/222vs STL09/020vs STL09/030vs STL09/042@ STL04/250@ STL04/261@ STL04/273vs STL06/122vs STL06/134vs STL06/140vs STL06/151vs STL09/123vs STL09/131vs STL09/144@ STL09/192@ STL09/201@ STL05/042@ STL05/062vs STL05/260vs STL05/272@ STL07/060@ STL07/070@ STL07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+140-187
Bovada1.5+140-185

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs STL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Joey Ortiz MIL07/075
Cooper Pratt MIL07/075
Christian Yelich MIL07/075
Joey Ortiz MIL07/074
Brice Turang MIL07/074
Jake Bauers MIL07/074
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
William Contreras MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070
Cooper Pratt MIL07/070
Christian Yelich MIL07/070