Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alejandro Kirk

Toronto Blue Jays · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.39
Edge
-0.0%
All 272 games
26%71/272 over 0.5
Window avg
0.32
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
22%
5/23
Avg0.32
StreakL4

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.316.3685.1%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.143.14336.4%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.111.44428.6%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.111.11125.0%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.000.0007.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Alejandro Kirk clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 69% · n=68 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 55% · n=12 · -111 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 55% · n=12
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 63% · n=65 · -217 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredall 272 games vs 0.5

official box scores
3vs LAD10/240vs LAD10/251@ LAD10/270@ LAD10/280@ LAD10/290vs LAD10/310vs LAD11/010vs OAK03/272vs OAK03/280vs COL03/300vs COL04/010@ CWS04/031vs NYY06/120vs NYY06/140@ BOS06/160@ BOS06/170@ CHC06/190@ CHC06/200vs HOU06/220vs HOU06/241vs TEX06/250vs TEX06/261vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/280vs NYM06/302vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/050@ SF07/060@ SF07/080.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

No live odds right now.

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

George Springer TOR07/082
Nathan Lukes TOR07/082
Daulton Varsho TOR07/082
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/082
Ernie Clement TOR07/081
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/081
Jonatan Clase TOR07/080
Andrés Giménez TOR07/080
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.667.000.500.000.182.000.333.286.000
Exit Velo
76.8090.4377.4887.3993.2892.1299.7888.3372.75
onBasePercentage
.667.000.500.000.182.000.286.286.000
sluggingPercentage
.667.000.500.000.455.000.500.714.000
OPS
1.333.0001.000.000.636.000.7141.000.000