Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alejandro Kirk

Toronto Blue Jays · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.68
Edge
-10.1%
Last 10
50%5/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
52%
12/23
Avg0.90
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.316.3685.1%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.143.14336.4%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.111.44428.6%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.111.11125.0%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.000.0007.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Alejandro Kirk clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 64% · n=11 · -140 DraftKings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=155 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=145 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=145 · -217 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs TEX06/250vs TEX06/261vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/281vs NYM06/302vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/050@ SF07/061@ SF07/080.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

No live odds right now.

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Daulton Varsho TOR07/082
Nathan Lukes TOR07/082
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/082
Ernie Clement TOR07/081
George Springer TOR07/081
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/081
Andrés Giménez TOR07/081
Jonatan Clase TOR07/080
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.667.000.500.000.182.000.333.286.000
Exit Velo
76.8090.4377.4887.3993.2892.1299.7888.3372.75
onBasePercentage
.667.000.500.000.182.000.286.286.000
sluggingPercentage
.667.000.500.000.455.000.500.714.000
OPS
1.333.0001.000.000.636.000.7141.000.000