Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.65
Edge
-11.2%Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
64%
9/14
Avg0.91
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Alejandro Kirk clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 62% · n=10 · -140 DraftKings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=154 · -247 DraftKings
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=144 · -235 DraftKings
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=144 · -240 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Myles Straw TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |