Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alejandro Kirk

Toronto Blue Jays · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.65
Edge
-11.2%
Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.05
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
70%
7/10
Avg0.93
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Alejandro Kirk clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 62% · n=10 · -140 DraftKings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=154 · -247 DraftKings
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=144 · -235 DraftKings
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=144 · -240 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ CIN09/010@ NYY09/060@ NYY09/071vs BAL09/133vs BAL09/141vs TB09/273vs TB09/282vs NYY10/041vs NYY10/051vs SEA10/131vs OAK03/281vs COL04/011@ CWS04/031vs NYY06/140@ CHC06/191@ CHC06/201vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/282vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-172+129

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060